The Hungarian stock market is outstandingly in the lead, even in international contrast. The great efficiency may proceed, besides the low interest rate and the booming housing market.

In the past 3 years, the annual profit of 28.8 % on average not only overtook the regional neighbors (Prague -6.39%, Warsaw +0.83%, Vienna +15.01%), but the world’s largest stock exchanges as well. In the meantime, the annual profit in Frankfurt was just 1.33 % and 3.72 % in Paris, even the record breaker New York Exchange barely passed 9 percent. The averagely 12 % increase in the Chinese stocks (which is caused by the skyrocketing growth in the income of the Chinese tech corporations, and the admission of foreign investors to the internal exchange) is far behind the triumph of the domestic parquet.

A great indicator for the improving international opinion concerning the Hungarian economy is the above average performance of the domestic stock market, dominated by foreign institutional investors by nearly 70 percent. The BUX index, which indicates the average fluctuations in the exchange rate of the companies present at the Hungarian stock exchange, quadrupled its value since the bottom of the economical crisis in the spring of 2009, and reached the magical 40.000 points in last autumn. The domestic economy is doing well; in the last quarter of last year, the GDP increased by an estimated 4.4 percent and the gross average earnings almost reached 300.000 Forints, meanwhile the inflation is 2.1 percent in total, and the unemployment rate touched a depth level with 3.8 percent that has never been seen before.

 The State assists

The progressive macroeconomic data is observable at the increasing income and profit of the Hungarian companies in the stock exchange, which is a topic of many analyses taken by several Hungarian investment companies organized by the Budapest Stock Exchange.

Such an element is the low interest rate, which is constantly decreased by the Hungarian National Bank since the late August of 2012.The interest rate of the Forint has declined from 7 percent to the today’s 0.9 percent. According to Vice President Márton Nagy of the central Bank, the interest rate could remain low until 2019. The cheap loan is especially good for the OTP Bank (though, the interest gap is under significant pressure), which could profit from the growing loan volume. The loan office runs more than 3 million residential and enterprise accounts, and its stocks have locked on a historical peak (11.750 HUF), in the middle of February. The well-know HSBC Bank from Central-London, appreciated this and offered a target price of 12.900 HUF for the bank papers. The low interest rates (which catalyzes the investments into properties, and the expansion of loans to buy homes), caused a rush in the real estate market, which can be beneficial for several stocks.

Housewarming

For example, the Duna House gains profit from credit intermediation besides real estate business. According to forecasts, the value of its stocks has increased by 15 percent this year, on account of the increasing brokerage traffic and the catch-up with the Polish acquisition. The HQ of Masterplast is in the city of Sárszentmihály within Fejér county. The company which produce insulation material for the building industry,could be the winner of the boom at the real estate market. (According to analysts, the profit rate for 12 months could be 36%.) The distributional stock means good deal, because of the low interest rates. The distributional profit is 3 percent at the GS Park Plc, (where the founder, Gábor Bajor, still own 30 percent) which is a lessor of its office complex in the capital. The estimated profit is 3 percent of The National Printing Office, which is a manufacturer of the new types of documents. The Zwack is a producer of alcoholic beverages and half of the shares of the company is owned by a family. According to the exchange course in the middle of February, the company could pay 5 percent dividend after every stock. It is a good deal if we consider that the governmental securities with a duration of 1 year only guarantee 1.5 to 2 percent, bank deposits do 0.33 percent on average. The Appeninn Holding deals with office complex rental in Budapest, and it can also join the line of the distributing companies, because its exchange rate has been increased by 217 percent in 2017. The course of the CIG Pannónia Insurance company has increased by 126 percent in 2017. After the cooperation with the MKB Bank, the sales cooperation with the saving cooperatives could significantly increase the company’s profit this year.

Beyond the Border

The Hungarian companies are in favor of the international trends; In 2017, the MOL oil company broke profit record with 307 billion Forints (1.11 billion Dollars) in a decade. The Waberer’s carrier company gains profit from the booming European prosperity. If the economy runs better, more carriers are needed. The residential purchasing power is beneficial for the carriers. Last year’s Polish acquisition, which was the integration of the Link company, might gain significant profit as well. Poland is the regional center of the web shop of Amazon.com. The world leader company has reached 178 billon dollars in cash flow, and set up its fifth logistical base. According to estimations, the stocks of the Richter pharmaceutical company may grow by nearly 30 percent this year, because of an international affair. The European Medicines Agency has stopped the distribution of the Esmya, (because of the side effects in some cases) which is a world class medication for treating the gynecological myocyte. However, the result of the investigation is expected to be positive for the company.

 

 

 

About us

The GLOBS is the only magazine in Hungary that focuses on foreign affairs and trade. The topics cover the different aspects of social life, business and culture (especially business culture), research and development, investment opportunities, charity initiatives, and the everyday life of the diplomatic delegations.
 
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